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Logarithmic Scores, Power-Law Discoveries: Disentangling Measurement from Coverage in Agent-Based Evaluation

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arXiv:2604.00477v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: LLM-based agent judges are an emerging approach to evaluating conversational AI, yet a fundamental uncertainty remains: can we trust their assessments, and if so, how many are needed? Through 960 sessions with two model pairs across 15 tasks, we show that persona-based agent judges produce evaluations indistinguishable from human raters in a Turing-style validation. We then identify a score-coverage dissociation: quality scores improve logarithmica

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    Computer Science > Artificial Intelligence [Submitted on 1 Apr 2026] Logarithmic Scores, Power-Law Discoveries: Disentangling Measurement from Coverage in Agent-Based Evaluation HyunJoon Jung, William Na LLM-based agent judges are an emerging approach to evaluating conversational AI, yet a fundamental uncertainty remains: can we trust their assessments, and if so, how many are needed? Through 960 sessions with two model pairs across 15 tasks, we show that persona-based agent judges produce evaluations indistinguishable from human raters in a Turing-style validation. We then identify a score-coverage dissociation: quality scores improve logarithmically with panel size, while unique issue discoveries follow a sublinear power law-both exhibit diminishing returns, but scores saturate roughly twice as fast as discoveries. We hypothesize this reflects a power law distribution of the finding space: critical issues are discovered first by small panels, while corner cases require progressively larger panels, analogous to species accumulation curves in ecology. The mechanism traces to ensemble diversity-Big Five personality conditioning makes agents probe different quality dimensions, with expert judges acting as adversarial probes that push discovery into the tail of the finding distribution. A controlled ablation confirms that structured persona conditioning, not simple prompting, is required to produce these scaling properties. Subjects: Artificial Intelligence (cs.AI); Computation and Language (cs.CL); Human-Computer Interaction (cs.HC); Multiagent Systems (cs.MA) Cite as: arXiv:2604.00477 [cs.AI]   (or arXiv:2604.00477v1 [cs.AI] for this version)   https://doi.org/10.48550/arXiv.2604.00477 Focus to learn more Submission history From: HyunJoon Jung [view email] [v1] Wed, 1 Apr 2026 04:44:21 UTC (22,089 KB) Access Paper: HTML (experimental) view license Current browse context: cs.AI < prev   |   next > new | recent | 2026-04 Change to browse by: cs cs.CL cs.HC cs.MA References & Citations NASA ADS Google Scholar Semantic Scholar Export BibTeX Citation Bookmark Bibliographic Tools Bibliographic and Citation Tools Bibliographic Explorer Toggle Bibliographic Explorer (What is the Explorer?) Connected Papers Toggle Connected Papers (What is Connected Papers?) Litmaps Toggle Litmaps (What is Litmaps?) scite.ai Toggle scite Smart Citations (What are Smart Citations?) Code, Data, Media Demos Related Papers About arXivLabs Which authors of this paper are endorsers? | Disable MathJax (What is MathJax?)
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    arXiv AI
    Category
    ◬ AI & Machine Learning
    Published
    Apr 02, 2026
    Archived
    Apr 02, 2026
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