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BOHM: Zero-Cost Hierarchical Attribution for Compound AI Systems

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arXiv:2605.22866v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Compound AI systems route tasks through hierarchies of specialised components. Attribution is dominated by Shapley-based methods (SHAP), which decompose a coalition value function into per-component marginal contributions and require evaluation of the system on arbitrary component subsets. That requirement fails for third-party APIs, opaque endpoints, and agentic orchestrators that concentrate routing on a few tools, leaving most coalitions un-eval

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    Computer Science > Artificial Intelligence [Submitted on 19 May 2026] BOHM: Zero-Cost Hierarchical Attribution for Compound AI Systems Joss Armstrong Compound AI systems route tasks through hierarchies of specialised components. Attribution is dominated by Shapley-based methods (SHAP), which decompose a coalition value function into per-component marginal contributions and require evaluation of the system on arbitrary component subsets. That requirement fails for third-party APIs, opaque endpoints, and agentic orchestrators that concentrate routing on a few tools, leaving most coalitions un-evaluable from the deployed orchestrator. We introduce BOHM, which extracts a hierarchical attribution tree directly from the routing weights such systems already maintain: leaf attribution is the path product of root-to-leaf routing weights; level-k attribution is the induced distribution over depth-k nodes. The method has zero marginal cost, requires no access to component internals, and provides multi-resolution attribution at every level simultaneously, which flat methods cannot offer at any evaluation budget. BOHM and SHAP answer different questions and converge when the deployed router routes near-optimally. On 18 LLMs in a 3-level hierarchy over 880 LiveCodeBench problems, BOHM yields Kendall tau=0.928; SHAP reaches tau=0.980 at 9,000x more coalition evaluations per seed. On a 5-driver, 7-benchmark agentic study (35 cells, complete coverage), drivers concentrate routing on a single tool (top-share median 0.65), and cell-level tau(BOHM,SHAP) is predicted by whether the driver's top pick is the empirically best tool (mean +0.22 vs ~+0.01). On a US Census hierarchy (475 leaves, 4 levels), BOHM recovers ground-truth rankings at every level (tau up to 0.722). BOHM satisfies efficiency, monotonicity, symmetry, and weak suppression but not Shapley's additivity. It is best understood as a complementary primitive: a multi-resolution decomposition computable wherever routing state exists, whose disagreement with Shapley is itself diagnostic. Comments: 35 pages, 10 figures, 20 tables Subjects: Artificial Intelligence (cs.AI); Machine Learning (cs.LG) Cite as: arXiv:2605.22866 [cs.AI]   (or arXiv:2605.22866v1 [cs.AI] for this version)   https://doi.org/10.48550/arXiv.2605.22866 Focus to learn more Submission history From: Joss Armstrong [view email] [v1] Tue, 19 May 2026 19:38:14 UTC (354 KB) Access Paper: HTML (experimental) view license Current browse context: cs.AI < prev   |   next > new | recent | 2026-05 Change to browse by: cs cs.LG References & Citations NASA ADS Google Scholar Semantic Scholar Export BibTeX Citation Bookmark Bibliographic Tools Bibliographic and Citation Tools Bibliographic Explorer Toggle Bibliographic Explorer (What is the Explorer?) Connected Papers Toggle Connected Papers (What is Connected Papers?) Litmaps Toggle Litmaps (What is Litmaps?) scite.ai Toggle scite Smart Citations (What are Smart Citations?) Code, Data, Media Demos Related Papers About arXivLabs Which authors of this paper are endorsers? | Disable MathJax (What is MathJax?)
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    arXiv AI
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    ◬ AI & Machine Learning
    Published
    May 25, 2026
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    May 25, 2026
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