PROMETHEUS: Automating Deep Causal Research Integrating Text, Data and Models
arXiv AIArchived May 14, 2026✓ Full text saved
arXiv:2605.12835v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Large language models can extract local causal claims from text, but those claims become more useful when organized as persistent, navigable world models rather than as flat summaries. We introduce PROMETHEUS, a framework that turns retrieved literature, filings, reviews, reports, agent traces, source data, code, simulations, and scientific models into causal atlases: sheaf-like families of local causal predictive-state models over an explicit cove
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✦ AI Summary· Claude Sonnet
Computer Science > Artificial Intelligence
[Submitted on 13 May 2026]
PROMETHEUS: Automating Deep Causal Research Integrating Text, Data and Models
Sridhar Mahadevan
Large language models can extract local causal claims from text, but those claims become more useful when organized as persistent, navigable world models rather than as flat summaries. We introduce PROMETHEUS, a framework that turns retrieved literature, filings, reviews, reports, agent traces, source data, code, simulations, and scientific models into causal atlases: sheaf-like families of local causal predictive-state models over an explicit cover of a research substrate. Each local region contains causal episodes, structured claim tables, predictive tests, support statistics, and provenance; restriction maps compare overlapping regions; gluing diagnostics expose agreement, drift, contradiction, and underdetermination. The resulting Topos World Model is not a single universal graph. It is a research instrument for navigating what a corpus says, where it says it, how strongly it is supported, and where local claims fail to assemble into a coherent global view. Three literature-atlas case studies -- ocean-temperature impacts on marine populations, GLP-1 weight-loss evidence, and resveratrol/red-wine health-benefit claims -- illustrate deep causal research from text with explicit locality, evidence, persistent state, and gluing tension. Four grounded-counterfactual case studies -- a Nature Climate Change microplastics forcing paper, an Indus Valley hydrology paper with VIC-derived figure data and model code, the canonical Sachs protein-signaling study with single-cell perturbation data, and a Nature singing-mouse study with MAPseq projection matrices -- show a stronger mode: when a paper ships source data, simulation outputs, or code, PROMETHEUS can evaluate a counterfactual against that scientific substrate and then rebuild the sheaf world model around the
Comments: 27 pages
Subjects: Artificial Intelligence (cs.AI)
Cite as: arXiv:2605.12835 [cs.AI]
(or arXiv:2605.12835v1 [cs.AI] for this version)
https://doi.org/10.48550/arXiv.2605.12835
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Submission history
From: Sridhar Mahadevan [view email]
[v1] Wed, 13 May 2026 00:08:07 UTC (46 KB)
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